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Vance Holds a Commanding Lead, But Other Candidates Get a Boost

The Western Journal asked readers again this week: If the 2028 Republican primary were held today, who would you support?

Vice President J.D. Vance continues to dominate the field, although his lead dipped slightly compared to last week’s poll.

Vance received 53.5 percent of the vote in this week’s straw poll, which was conducted Oct. 6-12 and drew 14,925 responses.

That is a dip from the 62.1 percent total he recorded last week, when his support had reached its highest level since The Western Journal began gauging readers about the 2028 primary.

President Donald Trump finished second once again, with 13.1 percent of respondents’ support while being term-limited.

That number for the president represents a moderate boost from the 12.2 percent he earned in last week’s straw poll.

Both remain far ahead of the rest of the field, underscoring the continued dominance of the Trump-Vance ticket among conservative voters.

Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky surged to 10.1 percent this week, a notable jump from 7.3 percent in the previous survey.

Would you support a Vance bid for the nomination?

Secretary of State Marco Rubio finished with 7.9 percent of support — a rebound for the former senator and 2016 GOP presidential candidate.

Rubio’s total share of support last week had fallen to 6.6 percent.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis saw a small gain this week, moving from 5.0 percent to 5.2 percent.

The “Other” category came in at 10.2 percent, up from 6.8 percent last week, showing a small resurgence of interest in alternative GOP figures. Candidates with less than 2.0 percent of the total votes are grouped into this category.

Altogether, the data suggests most conservatives are largely pleased with the two candidates whose names were on the ticket last November, while there is also enthusiasm for other potential contenders.

Related:

Weekly Straw Poll: Vance Extends Commanding Lead in Latest Western Journal Survey

Even with a nine-point decline, Vance maintains an overwhelming lead of more than 40 percentage points over Trump, the next closest candidate.

The Western Journal’s non-scientific reader survey continues to reflect high confidence in the Trump administration.

Together, Vance and Trump captured over two-thirds of this week’s total responses.

The Western Journal straw poll will continue to track conservatives’ preferences as the 2028 cycle takes shape.

If you would like to participate in this week’s straw poll, you can do so by clicking here. Participants may vote only once per week.

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